Model = our sim. Book = de-vigged Bovada (blank where the market isn't offered). Win totals to ~100% (one winner); podium ~300% (3 spots); points ~1000% (top-10).
| Driver | Team | Win | Book | Edge | EV | ½K | Podium | Book | Points | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | MERC | 48.4% | 62.5% | -14.0% | -30% | – | 84.5% | – | 88.3% | – |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR | 26.1% | 8.2% | +17.9% | +187% | 9.3% | 77.0% | – | 89.5% | – |
| George Russell | MERC | 12.8% | 10.0% | +2.8% | +15% | 0.9% | 61.7% | – | 87.9% | – |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR | 10.0% | 12.9% | -2.9% | -30% | – | 52.0% | – | 89.5% | – |
| Max Verstappen | RB | 1.5% | 1.8% | -0.3% | -25% | – | 12.5% | – | 87.6% | – |
| Lando Norris | MCL | 1.1% | 1.1% | -0.1% | -14% | – | 9.9% | – | 91.5% | – |
| Isack Hadjar | RB | 0.1% | 0.9% | -0.8% | -88% | – | 1.4% | – | 87.1% | – |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL | 0.1% | 1.1% | -1.0% | -94% | – | 1.0% | – | 92.7% | – |
| Liam Lawson | RB | 0.0% | 0.4% | -0.4% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 82.5% | – |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 1.1% | – |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS | 0.0% | 0.1% | -0.1% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 26.6% | – |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 1.1% | – |
| Carlos Sainz Jr | WILL | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 5.1% | – |
| Fernando Alonso | AM | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 0.0% | – |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 21.9% | – |
| Alexander Albon | WILL | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 0.5% | – |
| Lance Stroll | AM | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 0.0% | – |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB | 0.0% | 0.4% | -0.4% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 76.4% | – |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 40.3% | – |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 0.0% | – |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 30.2% | – |
| Sergio Perez | CAD | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -100% | – | 0.0% | – | 0.0% | – |
| TOTAL | 100.0% | 100.0% | 300.0% | – | 1000.0% | – |