Quick per-race MAE / correlation of projected mean vs actual dk_pts. For the leak-free
walk-forward see python -m eval.backtest.
| Date | Season | Rnd | Entities | MAE | Corr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | 2026 | 9 | 33 | 13.3 | 0.66 | run |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026 | 8 | 33 | 10.1 | 0.89 | run |
| 2026-06-14 | 2026 | 7 | 33 | 10.9 | 0.81 | run |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026 | 6 | 33 | 17.1 | 0.38 | run |
| 2026-05-24 | 2026 | 5 | 33 | 14.9 | 0.52 | run |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026 | 4 | 33 | 12.4 | 0.74 | run |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026 | 3 | 33 | 9.2 | 0.89 | run |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | 2 | 33 | 15.1 | 0.56 | run |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | 1 | 33 | 13.9 | 0.66 | run |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025 | 24 | 30 | 9.6 | 0.89 | run |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025 | 23 | 30 | 11.2 | 0.78 | run |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | 22 | 30 | 16.0 | 0.51 | run |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025 | 21 | 30 | 12.7 | 0.65 | run |
| 2025-10-26 | 2025 | 20 | 30 | 10.8 | 0.83 | run |
| 2025-10-19 | 2025 | 19 | 30 | 9.5 | 0.86 | run |
| 2025-10-05 | 2025 | 18 | 30 | 8.9 | 0.86 | run |
| 2025-09-21 | 2025 | 17 | 30 | 10.8 | 0.81 | run |
| 2025-09-07 | 2025 | 16 | 30 | 10.7 | 0.84 | run |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025 | 15 | 30 | 17.5 | 0.45 | run |
| 2025-08-03 | 2025 | 14 | 30 | 10.4 | 0.83 | run |
| 2025-07-27 | 2025 | 13 | 30 | 10.1 | 0.80 | run |
| 2025-07-06 | 2025 | 12 | 30 | 14.9 | 0.64 | run |
| 2025-06-29 | 2025 | 11 | 30 | 13.5 | 0.66 | run |
| 2025-06-15 | 2025 | 10 | 30 | 10.2 | 0.80 | run |
| 2025-06-01 | 2025 | 9 | 29 | 12.7 | 0.71 | run |
| 2025-05-25 | 2025 | 8 | 30 | 10.8 | 0.83 | run |
| 2025-05-18 | 2025 | 7 | 30 | 12.4 | 0.81 | run |
| 2025-05-04 | 2025 | 6 | 30 | 9.9 | 0.88 | run |
| 2025-04-20 | 2025 | 5 | 30 | 8.9 | 0.86 | run |
| 2025-04-13 | 2025 | 4 | 30 | 11.5 | 0.81 | run |
| 2025-04-06 | 2025 | 3 | 30 | 7.8 | 0.95 | run |
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | 2 | 30 | 15.3 | 0.60 | run |
| 2025-03-16 | 2025 | 1 | 30 | 12.2 | 0.74 | run |