Projection vs actual latest run per race, DK points

Quick per-race MAE / correlation of projected mean vs actual dk_pts. For the leak-free walk-forward see python -m eval.backtest.

DateSeasonRndEntities MAECorr
2026-10-11202617 33 7.4 0.93 run
2026-10-04202616 33 11.2 0.80 run
2026-09-26202615 33 15.3 0.63 run
2026-09-13202614 33 8.1 0.83 run
2026-09-06202613 33 10.5 0.70 run
2026-08-23202612 33 10.3 0.80 run
2026-07-26202611 33 8.7 0.83 run
2026-07-19202610 33 9.0 0.78 run
2026-07-0520269 33 14.1 0.62 run
2026-06-2820268 33 7.7 0.93 run
2026-06-1420267 33 11.3 0.75 run
2026-06-0720266 33 16.3 0.47 run
2026-05-2420265 33 15.9 0.48 run
2026-05-0320264 33 12.7 0.72 run
2026-03-2920263 33 7.0 0.93 run
2026-03-1520262 33 14.4 0.63 run
2026-03-0820261 33 13.2 0.68 run
2025-12-07202524 29 9.6 0.88 run
2025-11-30202523 29 11.6 0.77 run
2025-11-22202522 29 16.3 0.42 run
2025-11-09202521 29 14.0 0.56 run
2025-10-26202520 29 11.0 0.80 run
2025-10-19202519 29 10.3 0.84 run
2025-10-05202518 29 9.3 0.84 run
2025-09-21202517 29 11.7 0.73 run
2025-09-07202516 29 10.9 0.78 run
2025-08-31202515 29 18.6 0.31 run
2025-08-03202514 29 11.7 0.76 run
2025-07-27202513 29 10.7 0.78 run
2025-07-06202512 29 14.6 0.63 run
2025-06-29202511 29 14.4 0.59 run
2025-06-15202510 29 10.5 0.78 run
2025-06-0120259 28 14.5 0.61 run
2025-05-2520258 29 13.1 0.71 run
2025-05-1820257 29 13.0 0.76 run
2025-05-0420256 29 10.0 0.85 run
2025-04-2020255 29 10.7 0.77 run
2025-04-1320254 29 11.4 0.79 run
2025-04-0620253 29 7.5 0.91 run
2025-03-2320252 29 16.3 0.55 run
2025-03-1620251 29 12.9 0.71 run