2026 R1 race run 1123 · 10000 sims · v1

→ Bovada odds edge

Drivers

DriverTeamGridDK meanp10–p90 WinPodiumPoints
George RussellMERC 1 45.5
63% 87% 88%
Kimi AntonelliMERC 2 36.7
21% 78% 89%
Max VerstappenRB 20 36.1
1% 6% 82%
Isack HadjarRB 3 33.5
6% 43% 88%
Charles LeclercFERR 4 33.4
5% 39% 88%
Oscar PiastriMCL 5 28.9
1% 15% 91%
Lando NorrisMCL 6 28.9
2% 14% 89%
Lewis HamiltonFERR 7 26.0
1% 10% 85%
Liam LawsonVCARB 8 22.3
0% 3% 71%
Arvid LindbladVCARB 9 19.5
0% 2% 58%
Nico HulkenbergAUD 11 17.7
0% 1% 38%
Pierre GaslyALPN 14 17.0
0% 0% 21%
Oliver BearmanHAAS 12 17.0
0% 0% 26%
Gabriel BortoletoAUD 10 16.9
0% 1% 38%
Franco ColapintoALPN 16 14.6
0% 0% 11%
Esteban OconHAAS 13 14.6
0% 0% 18%
Fernando AlonsoAM 17 13.1
0% 0% 5%
Alexander AlbonWILL 15 11.8
0% 0% 8%
Carlos SainzWILL 21 11.6
0% 0% 2%
Lance StrollAM 22 11.0
0% 0% 1%
Sergio PerezCAD 18 7.4
0% 0% 2%
Valtteri BottasCAD 19 7.1
0% 0% 1%

Constructors

ConstructorDK meanp10–p90
Mercedes87.3
Ferrari60.3
McLaren59.3
Red Bull Racing59.0
Alphatauri42.1
Audi F1 Team33.3
Haas F1 Team28.2
Alpine F1 Team24.8
Williams15.4
Aston Martin F1 Team14.0
Cadillac9.2