2026 R1 race
run 1123 · 10000 sims · v1
→ Bovada odds edge
Drivers
| Driver | Team | Grid | DK mean | p10–p90 |
Win | Podium | Points |
| George Russell | MERC |
1 |
45.5 |
|
63% |
87% |
88% |
| Kimi Antonelli | MERC |
2 |
36.7 |
|
21% |
78% |
89% |
| Max Verstappen | RB |
20 |
36.1 |
|
1% |
6% |
82% |
| Isack Hadjar | RB |
3 |
33.5 |
|
6% |
43% |
88% |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR |
4 |
33.4 |
|
5% |
39% |
88% |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL |
5 |
28.9 |
|
1% |
15% |
91% |
| Lando Norris | MCL |
6 |
28.9 |
|
2% |
14% |
89% |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR |
7 |
26.0 |
|
1% |
10% |
85% |
| Liam Lawson | VCARB |
8 |
22.3 |
|
0% |
3% |
71% |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB |
9 |
19.5 |
|
0% |
2% |
58% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD |
11 |
17.7 |
|
0% |
1% |
38% |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN |
14 |
17.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
21% |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS |
12 |
17.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
26% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD |
10 |
16.9 |
|
0% |
1% |
38% |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN |
16 |
14.6 |
|
0% |
0% |
11% |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS |
13 |
14.6 |
|
0% |
0% |
18% |
| Fernando Alonso | AM |
17 |
13.1 |
|
0% |
0% |
5% |
| Alexander Albon | WILL |
15 |
11.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
8% |
| Carlos Sainz | WILL |
21 |
11.6 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
| Lance Stroll | AM |
22 |
11.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
1% |
| Sergio Perez | CAD |
18 |
7.4 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD |
19 |
7.1 |
|
0% |
0% |
1% |
Constructors
| Constructor | DK mean | p10–p90 |
| Mercedes | 87.3 |
|
| Ferrari | 60.3 |
|
| McLaren | 59.3 |
|
| Red Bull Racing | 59.0 |
|
| Alphatauri | 42.1 |
|
| Audi F1 Team | 33.3 |
|
| Haas F1 Team | 28.2 |
|
| Alpine F1 Team | 24.8 |
|
| Williams | 15.4 |
|
| Aston Martin F1 Team | 14.0 |
|
| Cadillac | 9.2 |
|