2026 R4 race
run 1126 · 10000 sims · v1
→ Bovada odds edge
Drivers
| Driver | Team | Grid | DK mean | p10–p90 |
Win | Podium | Points |
|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | MERC |
1 |
46.1 |
|
60% |
88% |
89% |
| Max Verstappen | RB |
2 |
40.4 |
|
25% |
80% |
88% |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR |
3 |
34.6 |
|
7% |
55% |
87% |
| Lando Norris | MCL |
4 |
33.9 |
|
3% |
31% |
91% |
| George Russell | MERC |
5 |
28.3 |
|
2% |
21% |
88% |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR |
6 |
27.2 |
|
1% |
14% |
86% |
| Isack Hadjar | RB |
22 |
26.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
34% |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL |
7 |
25.9 |
|
0% |
6% |
89% |
| Liam Lawson | VCARB |
11 |
22.3 |
|
0% |
1% |
54% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD |
10 |
21.1 |
|
0% |
1% |
53% |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN |
8 |
20.1 |
|
0% |
1% |
65% |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN |
9 |
19.7 |
|
0% |
1% |
61% |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS |
12 |
18.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
32% |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB |
16 |
16.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
19% |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS |
14 |
14.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
17% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD |
21 |
13.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
5% |
| Carlos Sainz | WILL |
13 |
12.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
17% |
| Fernando Alonso | AM |
17 |
12.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
7% |
| Alexander Albon | WILL |
15 |
10.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
10% |
| Lance Stroll | AM |
18 |
9.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
3% |
| Sergio Perez | CAD |
20 |
7.9 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD |
19 |
7.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
Constructors
| Constructor | DK mean | p10–p90 |
|---|
| Mercedes | 77.2 |
|
| Ferrari | 63.7 |
|
| McLaren | 60.8 |
|
| Red Bull Racing | 55.3 |
|
| Alpine F1 Team | 40.6 |
|
| Alphatauri | 32.1 |
|
| Haas F1 Team | 28.4 |
|
| Audi F1 Team | 26.3 |
|
| Williams | 20.8 |
|
| Aston Martin F1 Team | 15.4 |
|
| Cadillac | 8.5 |
|