Model = our sim. Book = de-vigged Bovada (blank where the market isn't offered). Win totals to ~100% (one winner); podium ~300% (3 spots); points ~1000% (top-10).
| Driver | Team | Win | Book | Edge | EV | ½K | Podium | Book | Points | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | MERC | 62.2% | – | – | – | – | 89.0% | – | 89.8% | – |
| Max Verstappen | RB | 25.0% | – | – | – | – | 81.8% | – | 88.6% | – |
| George Russell | MERC | 5.8% | – | – | – | – | 53.8% | – | 89.1% | – |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR | 3.7% | – | – | – | – | 36.9% | – | 88.3% | – |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR | 1.9% | – | – | – | – | 20.5% | – | 87.2% | – |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL | 0.9% | – | – | – | – | 8.6% | – | 90.5% | – |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB | 0.2% | – | – | – | – | 2.9% | – | 77.2% | – |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD | 0.1% | – | – | – | – | 1.3% | – | 62.6% | – |
| Lando Norris | MCL | 0.1% | – | – | – | – | 1.2% | – | 61.8% | – |
| Liam Lawson | VCARB | 0.1% | – | – | – | – | 1.5% | – | 68.3% | – |
| Isack Hadjar | RB | 0.1% | – | – | – | – | 0.4% | – | 31.4% | – |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.7% | – | 50.0% | – |
| Carlos Sainz Jr | WILL | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 3.4% | – |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.4% | – | 37.1% | – |
| Alexander Albon | WILL | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.1% | – | 7.6% | – |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 1.8% | – |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.5% | – | 33.6% | – |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.2% | – | 17.7% | – |
| Fernando Alonso | AM | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 1.7% | – |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.1% | – | 8.6% | – |
| Sergio Perez | CAD | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 1.7% | – |
| Lance Stroll | AM | 0.0% | – | – | – | – | 0.0% | – | 1.8% | – |
| TOTAL | 100.0% | – | 300.0% | – | 1000.0% | – |