Sim vs Bovada — 2026 R9 race
run 75
← projections
| Market | Driver | Model | Book |
Edge | EV | ½Kelly | Fair |
|---|
| Outright | Arvid Lindblad |
2.8% |
0.0% |
+2.7% |
+8182.8% |
1.4% |
+3523 |
| Outright | Isack Hadjar |
6.5% |
0.1% |
+6.5% |
+6446.5% |
3.2% |
+1429 |
| Outright | Liam Lawson |
2.1% |
0.0% |
+2.1% |
+6232.1% |
1.0% |
+4639 |
| Outright | Gabriel Bortoleto |
0.9% |
0.0% |
+0.9% |
+3660.9% |
0.5% |
+10538 |
| Outright | Oliver Bearman |
0.7% |
0.0% |
+0.7% |
+2860.7% |
0.4% |
+13414 |
| Outright | Nico Hulkenberg |
0.7% |
0.0% |
+0.7% |
+2780.7% |
0.3% |
+13789 |
| Outright | Carlos Sainz Jr |
0.5% |
0.0% |
+0.5% |
+1820.5% |
0.2% |
+20733 |
| Outright | Pierre Gasly |
0.4% |
0.0% |
+0.4% |
+1040.4% |
0.2% |
+26216 |
| Outright | Oliver Bearman |
0.7% |
0.1% |
+0.7% |
+1010.7% |
0.3% |
+13414 |
| Outright | Carlos Sainz Jr |
0.5% |
0.0% |
+0.4% |
+860.5% |
0.2% |
+20733 |
| Outright | Arvid Lindblad |
2.8% |
0.4% |
+2.4% |
+592.8% |
1.2% |
+3523 |
| Outright | Lando Norris |
8.4% |
1.1% |
+7.3% |
+582.0% |
3.6% |
+1088 |
| Outright | Isack Hadjar |
6.5% |
0.9% |
+5.6% |
+560.5% |
2.8% |
+1429 |
| Outright | Esteban Ocon |
0.2% |
0.0% |
+0.1% |
+540.2% |
0.1% |
+62400 |
| Outright | Lando Norris |
8.4% |
1.3% |
+7.1% |
+464.1% |
3.5% |
+1088 |
| Outright | Charles Leclerc |
16.5% |
2.5% |
+14.0% |
+461.3% |
7.0% |
+506 |
| Outright | Liam Lawson |
2.1% |
0.4% |
+1.8% |
+429.6% |
0.9% |
+4639 |
| Outright | Max Verstappen |
10.0% |
1.8% |
+8.2% |
+408.0% |
4.1% |
+904 |
| Outright | Gabriel Bortoleto |
0.9% |
0.2% |
+0.8% |
+370.9% |
0.4% |
+10538 |
| Outright | Oscar Piastri |
4.2% |
0.9% |
+3.4% |
+329.3% |
1.6% |
+2253 |
| Outright | Nico Hulkenberg |
0.7% |
0.2% |
+0.5% |
+260.7% |
0.3% |
+13789 |
| Outright | Oscar Piastri |
4.2% |
1.1% |
+3.1% |
+244.3% |
1.5% |
+2253 |
| Outright | Esteban Ocon |
0.2% |
0.0% |
+0.1% |
+220.2% |
0.1% |
+62400 |
| Outright | Max Verstappen |
10.0% |
3.3% |
+6.6% |
+159.0% |
3.2% |
+904 |
| Outright | Pierre Gasly |
0.4% |
0.2% |
+0.2% |
+90.4% |
0.1% |
+26216 |
| Outright | Charles Leclerc |
16.5% |
8.2% |
+8.3% |
+81.6% |
4.1% |
+506 |
| Outright | Sergio Perez |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+60.0% |
0.0% |
+249900 |
| Outright | Sergio Perez |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+60.0% |
0.0% |
+249900 |
| Outright | Lewis Hamilton |
19.6% |
12.9% |
+6.7% |
+37.3% |
3.1% |
+410 |
| Outright | Fernando Alonso |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+20.0% |
0.0% |
+333233 |
| Outright | Valtteri Bottas |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+20.0% |
0.0% |
+333233 |
| Outright | Fernando Alonso |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+20.0% |
0.0% |
+333233 |
| Outright | Valtteri Bottas |
0.0% |
0.0% |
+0.0% |
+20.0% |
0.0% |
+333233 |
| Outright | Lewis Hamilton |
19.6% |
14.4% |
+5.2% |
+17.7% |
1.8% |
+410 |
| Outright | George Russell |
12.3% |
10.0% |
+2.3% |
+11.1% |
0.7% |
+710 |
| Outright | George Russell |
12.3% |
17.3% |
-4.9% |
-38.3% |
– |
+710 |
| Outright | Franco Colapinto |
0.0% |
0.0% |
-0.0% |
-40.0% |
– |
+499900 |
| Outright | Franco Colapinto |
0.0% |
0.0% |
-0.0% |
-60.0% |
– |
+499900 |
| Outright | Andrea Kimi Antonelli |
13.7% |
59.9% |
-46.1% |
-80.2% |
– |
+628 |
| Outright | Andrea Kimi Antonelli |
13.7% |
62.5% |
-48.7% |
-80.2% |
– |
+628 |
| Outright | Lance Stroll |
0.0% |
0.0% |
-0.0% |
-100.0% |
– |
– |
| Outright | Lance Stroll |
0.0% |
0.0% |
-0.0% |
-100.0% |
– |
– |