2026 R1 race
run 100 · 10000 sims · v1
→ Bovada odds edge
Drivers
| Driver | Team | Grid | DK mean | p10–p90 |
Win | Podium | Points |
| George Russell | MERC |
1 |
45.6 |
|
67% |
87% |
87% |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR |
4 |
37.6 |
|
8% |
68% |
89% |
| Kimi Antonelli | MERC |
2 |
37.5 |
|
22% |
84% |
89% |
| Lando Norris | MCL |
6 |
33.1 |
|
1% |
20% |
91% |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL |
5 |
30.1 |
|
1% |
14% |
92% |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR |
7 |
29.4 |
|
1% |
14% |
88% |
| Isack Hadjar | RB |
3 |
28.4 |
|
1% |
13% |
88% |
| Liam Lawson | VCARB |
8 |
25.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
85% |
| Max Verstappen | RB |
20 |
25.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
36% |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN |
14 |
21.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
31% |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS |
12 |
20.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
37% |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB |
9 |
19.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
76% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD |
10 |
19.1 |
|
0% |
0% |
54% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD |
11 |
17.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
43% |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN |
16 |
13.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
4% |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS |
13 |
12.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
8% |
| Alexander Albon | WILL |
15 |
11.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
1% |
| Sergio Perez | CAD |
18 |
10.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Fernando Alonso | AM |
17 |
10.4 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Carlos Sainz | WILL |
21 |
10.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Lance Stroll | AM |
22 |
7.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD |
19 |
5.6 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
Constructors
| Constructor | DK mean | p10–p90 |
| Mercedes | 88.4 |
|
| Ferrari | 66.3 |
|
| McLaren | 63.2 |
|
| Red Bull Racing | 45.5 |
|
| Alphatauri | 45.2 |
|
| Audi F1 Team | 35.3 |
|
| Haas F1 Team | 28.5 |
|
| Alpine F1 Team | 27.1 |
|
| Williams | 14.5 |
|
| Cadillac | 10.3 |
|
| Aston Martin F1 Team | 9.8 |
|