2026 R4 race
run 103 · 10000 sims · v1
→ Bovada odds edge
Drivers
| Driver | Team | Grid | DK mean | p10–p90 |
Win | Podium | Points |
|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | MERC |
1 |
42.1 |
|
44% |
84% |
88% |
| Max Verstappen | RB |
2 |
40.9 |
|
31% |
77% |
88% |
| Charles Leclerc | FERR |
3 |
37.5 |
|
14% |
60% |
89% |
| Lando Norris | MCL |
4 |
34.4 |
|
4% |
26% |
92% |
| George Russell | MERC |
5 |
32.2 |
|
6% |
42% |
87% |
| Lewis Hamilton | FERR |
6 |
28.3 |
|
1% |
10% |
89% |
| Oscar Piastri | MCL |
7 |
26.6 |
|
0% |
1% |
93% |
| Liam Lawson | VCARB |
11 |
25.1 |
|
0% |
0% |
76% |
| Pierre Gasly | ALPN |
9 |
23.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
83% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | AUD |
10 |
21.4 |
|
0% |
0% |
59% |
| Oliver Bearman | HAAS |
12 |
21.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
42% |
| Franco Colapinto | ALPN |
8 |
20.7 |
|
0% |
0% |
81% |
| Isack Hadjar | RB |
22 |
17.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
| Arvid Lindblad | VCARB |
16 |
16.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
10% |
| Carlos Sainz | WILL |
13 |
15.4 |
|
0% |
0% |
12% |
| Esteban Ocon | HAAS |
14 |
13.9 |
|
0% |
0% |
8% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | AUD |
21 |
13.0 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Sergio Perez | CAD |
20 |
10.8 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Fernando Alonso | AM |
17 |
10.6 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Alexander Albon | WILL |
15 |
10.2 |
|
0% |
0% |
2% |
| Valtteri Bottas | CAD |
19 |
5.4 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Lance Stroll | AM |
18 |
4.3 |
|
0% |
0% |
0% |
Constructors
| Constructor | DK mean | p10–p90 |
|---|
| Mercedes | 77.2 |
|
| Ferrari | 66.9 |
|
| McLaren | 61.7 |
|
| Red Bull Racing | 48.5 |
|
| Alpine F1 Team | 44.8 |
|
| Alphatauri | 33.5 |
|
| Haas F1 Team | 29.9 |
|
| Audi F1 Team | 25.9 |
|
| Williams | 22.0 |
|
| Aston Martin F1 Team | 10.6 |
|
| Cadillac | 9.0 |
|